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Trade setup: Remain mild on positions, stay exceptionally cautious

Angelina Greer by Angelina Greer
August 2, 2025
in Market
0

While the 11,760 degree stays a strong factor of Nifty resistance, the marketplace got off almost 70 factors from the excessive on Friday before finishing the day with a minor reduction. After beginning on a modestly high-quality observation, the consultation remained restrained in a capped range, with Nifty oscillating from side to side but now not making any of the most important directional circulate.

Within the closing hour-and-a-half of change, the index again took a massive knock due to earnings taking at higher levels. The headline Nifty50 ended the day down 12.50 points, or 0—eleven in line with cent.

It might require much caution going into Monday’s session and days after. The VIX trades at a multi-month excessive, and the lead indicators maintain to reveal a bearish divergence. The Bollinger bands are narrowing, indicating a possible sharp flow on either side within the coming days. On the pinnacle of it, the eleven,760 degrees poses resistance to Nifty for the long term.

We count on the 11,760 and 11,830 levels to provide stiff resistance to Nifty simultaneously as they may come in tons lower at eleven,630, and 11,550 stages.

Market

The daily RSI stood at fifty-seven. 5207 and remained neutral towards the 14-day duration. However, miles mark lower tops on the charts while visually inspected. The day-by-day MACD stays bearish even because it trades above the signing line. Along the top, a shadow has occurred on the candles.

This is an especially bearish sign while it emerges near the high factor. This is the 0.33 consecutive bearish candle that has appeared on each day’s charts.

Nifty marked its fresh lifetime high of eleven,856; however, with the breakout failing, the eleven 760 level remains precise as a primary double pinnacle resistance. At this pinnacle, the eleven,760-11,850 zone has emerged as a critical resistance for Nifty. Unless this sector is removed, we do not anticipate the market to peer any sustainable rally.

We also expect volatility to grow going ahead. The Bollinger Bands have become narrower than regular, indicating lesser-than-normal volatility in Nifty in the past couple of days. The longer the bands remain slender, the higher the chances of the volatility growing and Nifty making sharp actions on either side.

The modern technical set-up for the immediate short-time period indicates Nifty’s chances of making sharp actions at the downsides are higher. Remain mild on positions and preserve an enormously cautious view in the intervening time.

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